Best bet for to make before practice and qualifying for the Grant Park 165

This weekend, the NASCAR Cup Series returns to the streets of Chicago for the third, and possibly final, time. The 2.14-mile street course winds through Grant Park and includes 12 turns, most of them right-handers. It remains the only street course on the NASCAR schedule. Shane Van Gisbergen won the inaugural race in 2023 in his Cup Series debut. Last year, Alex Bowman, on old tires, held off a late charge from Tyler Reddick to win by over 2 seconds.

Persistent rain disrupted both the 2023 and 2024 race weekends and forced NASCAR to shorten the events. Although NASCAR brings wet weather tires and can race in moderate rain, extreme conditions in both years delayed the start times. With no adequate lighting at the circuit, NASCAR had to end both races early due to darkness. In 2023, officials shortened the race from 100 laps to 78. In 2024, even after reducing the scheduled distance to 75 laps, they still had to end the race at just 58 laps. Unfortunately, there is at least some possibility of rain again this year so I will be keeping one eye on the weather.

Chicago is the only street circuit on the schedule for the Cup Series. While street courses do share some similarities with road courses, they are not the same. One need look no further than IndyCar to see that there are some drivers who excel on street courses while they are good, but not great on road courses. So when handicapping this race how a driver has performed here the past two years is a big part of my evaluation. Although given the lack of other street courses on the schedule, recent road course performance remains important.

Christopher Bell Top 3 | +220 at Bet365 and FanDuel Sportsbook

At Win The Race Shane Van Gisbergen is the clear number 1 in our pre-practice and qualifying scores. With two wins to his name at the Chicago Street course (in addition to his 2023 Cup Series win he won the Xfinity race here in 2024) there is good reason for his dominate score before we see cars on the streets. That said, Christopher Bell is a strong number two in these ranks. Particularly in road course True Performance score and comparable track True Performance score there is a significant gap between Bell and the third place driver, Kyle Larson.

Win The Race Pre-Practice and Qualifying Scores for the Grant Park 165

Bell has been fast at Chicago in back to back years

Last year at Chicago Bell had the fastest incident adjusted speed. He also led 14 laps and logged 61.82% of his laps completed inside the Top 3. Unfortunately for Bell, bad luck relegated him to a 37th place “did not finish” result.

Win the Race Loop Edge data for the 2024 Grant Park 165

In 2023 Bell also had a strong performance at the Chicago Street Course. In that race he led 37 laps. He also logged 15 fastest laps and had a driver rating of 113.5. That race too ended with bad luck for Bell.

Win the Race Loop Edge data for Christopher Bell at the Chicago Street Coruse

Bell has continued to excel on road courses in 2025

In the two road course races of 2025 Bell has continued to show his skill at these types of tracks. He won the first road course race of the year at Circuit of the Americas, driving through the field from 19th. Just a few weeks ago in Mexico City Bell drove through the field from 31st to finish second. Simply put, Bell has shown he can perform well at Chicago and his 2025 performance at the most similar tracks has shown there is no reason to think he won’t continue to have speed on Sunday.

At Win The Race we simulate each NASCAR race 20,000 times using our proprietary performance scores. These scores fuel the simulations with the most reliable data, producing fair market value odds for winners, top 10s, podiums, manufacturers, and head-to-head matchups. Our simulations for the Grant Park 165 show value on Christopher Bell to win at +700, but given the remarkable performance we have seen from Shane Van Gisbergen, I’m willing to pass over that value, and drop to his Top 3 odds, where we still show value on him to finish Top 3. I want to make sure we keep a strong edge, so I would bet this down to +200.

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NASCAR Suspends Multiple Cup Series Crew Members After COTA

What’s Happening?

Two NASCAR Cup Series crew members for Ross Chastain’s No. 1 team were suspended following the race at Circuit of the Americas

  • The crew members suspended were rear-tire changer Josh Appleby and jackman Kenneth Pozega.
  • They will be sidelined for two weeks, missing the races at Phoenix Raceway on March 8th and Las Vegas on March 15th.
  • The penalty comes after Ross Chastain had a loose wheel at Circuit of the Americas while running 13th. On lap 75, his wheel detached from the car, bringing out a caution. Right after the incident, Chastain was also held for 2 laps as part of the penalty, as specified in the rulebook.
  • Chastain ended up finishing 35th after winning stage 1 and grabbing the fastest lap of the race. The result dropped him 9 spots on the point standings. He sits 20th with 64 points, 4 behind Ryan Preece, who holds the final Chase spot for now.
  • It’s the first time in the 2026 NASCAR season that crew members have been penalized for a loose wheel outside of pit road.

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NASCAR Reveals Full Details on The Crew Motorfest Content Update

What’s Happening?

On February 17, Ubisoft released a trailer that confirmed that NASCAR would be included in The Crew Motorfest’s next season update. Details were limited at the time, but in a press release issued today, Ubisoft revealed the full details of the update ahead of its March 4 launch.

What NASCAR Content will be Included?

  • 16 officially licensed NASCAR cars will be available at launch on March 4.
  • The 3 Next Gen Cup cars include the 2024 Ford Mustang Dark Horse, 2025 Chevrolet ZL1, and 2025 Toyota Camry XSE.
  • A 10-event NASCAR Motorfest Tour Playlist will run from qualifying rounds through finals, with players competing for the NASCAR Motorfest Tour Champion title.
  • NASCAR cars will be drivable across the full open world, not limited to playlist events.
  • NASCAR content launches March 4 as part of Season 9, which includes 31 total new vehicles across the broader season.

What Else is Included in the Update?

  • Season 9 features 31 total vehicle additions. Of those, 16 are NASCAR-related, but most are cosmetic team liveries rather than separate cars. In total, the season introduces 18 new drivable vehicles, with the remainder made up of cosmetic variations.
  • The 2019 Porsche 935 Racing Car arrives on April 1 as part of the Year Pass 3.
  • Trackforge debuts as a new user-generated track creator, offering two build templates: Motorsports and Coaster. It will have publishing and sharing functionality.
  • Custom circuits can be deployed across Moloka’i and Lanai, expanding playable layouts beyond developer-created events.
  • The RC Frenzy Playlist launches May 6, introducing two RC vehicles: Phazr General Rally Raid (2026) and Phazr Trickshot Street Tier 1 (2026). Both will be usable in dedicated events and the open world.
  • A new Island Playground, Summit Contest events, and weekly Main Stage activities round out the Season 9 content slate.

What Else has been Revealed?

Pit Stop Management
Crash Physics
Drafting System

Ubisoft says drafting will affect car speed and help save fuel, implying that drafting will be a huge factor in the game, at least with these cars. You can check out this and much more on Ubisoft’s official post linked below

Full Lineup and Prices

NASCAR Full Pack – 168,000 CC
  • HMS’s No. 9 Chevrolet (Chase Elliott)
  • HMS’s No. 24 Chevrolet (William Byron)
  • RCR’s No. 8 Chevrolet (Kyle Busch)
  • Trackhouse’s No. 1 Chevrolet (Ross Chastain)
  • Trackhouse’s No. 88 Chevrolet (Shane van Gisbergen)
  • Penske’s No. 12 Ford (Ryan Blaney)
  • Penske’s No. 22 Ford (Joey Logano)
  • RFK’s No. 6 Ford (Brad Keselowski)
  • 23XI’s No. 23 Toyota (Bubba Wallace)
  • 23XI’s No. 45 Toyota (Tyler Reddick)
  • JGR’s No. 19 Toyota (Chase Briscoe)
  • JGR’s No. 20 Toyota (Christopher Bell)
  • NASCAR Hoodie
NASCAR Chevrolet Pack – 122,500 CC
  • HMS’s No. 9 Chevrolet (Chase Elliott)
  • HMS’s No. 24 Chevrolet (William Byron)
  • RCR’s No. 8 Chevrolet (Kyle Busch)
  • Trackhouse’s No. 1 Chevrolet (Ross Chastain)
  • Trackhouse’s No. 88 Chevrolet (Shane van Gisbergen)
  • NASCAR Hoodie
NASCAR Ford Pack – 73,500 CC
  • Penske’s No. 12 Ford (Ryan Blaney)
  • Penske’s No. 22 Ford (Joey Logano)
  • RFK’s No. 6 Ford (Brad Keselowski)
  • NASCAR Hoodie
NASCAR Toyota Pack – 98,000 CC
  • 23XI’s No. 23 Toyota (Bubba Wallace)
  • 23XI’s No. 45 Toyota (Tyler Reddick)
  • JGR’s No. 19 Toyota (Chase Briscoe)
  • JGR’s No. 20 Toyota (Christopher Bell)
  • NASCAR Hoodie

Earlier this Tuesday, the official The Crew Motorfest account clarified confusion around the NASCAR bundles. The Crew Credit (CC) bundles only include cosmetic team liveries, not additional cars. The 3 base Next Gen cars (Ford Mustang Dark Horse, Toyota Camry XSE, and Chevrolet ZL1) are part of the free Season 9 update and can be purchased separately.

Mitch Rasmussen, NASCAR’s Senior Director of Interactive, said in the press release:

We’re excited to bring our iconic brand to life in The Crew Motorfest. This collaboration represents another important step in our strategy to bring NASCAR into the digital spaces and places where next generation fans spend their time, giving players new ways to interact with the culture and communities they love.

The content arrives as part of Year 3 Season 9 and is officially licensed by NASCAR. You can watch the first trailer and learn more in the article linked below

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Too Many Road Courses In NASCAR? | New Power Rankings Post-COTA!

Four road courses on the schedule, and somehow that’s enough to spark one of the biggest debates in the garage. After recent comments from Brad Keselowski questioning the business value of road racing, the conversation has picked up serious steam. Is NASCAR leaning too far into it, or is the current balance about right?

  • Are road courses truly underperforming in ratings and attendance compared to traditional ovals?
  • Does a venue like Circuit of the Americas represent a growth opportunity, or schedule oversaturation?
  • Should NASCAR prioritize sponsor markets over competitive variety?
  • And what does the ideal long-term schedule balance actually look like?

There are valid points on both sides, from sponsorship realities to fan traditions to competitive diversity. Some tracks have gained traction. Others have struggled. The question isn’t just whether road courses belong, but how many make sense within a 36-race season. It’s less about extremes and more about direction. And with future schedule changes always looming, this debate probably isn’t settled anytime soon.

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