Why Does Denny Hamlin Keep Choking in the Playoffs?

HOMESTEAD, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 22: Denny Hamlin, driver of the #11 Sport Clips Haircuts Toyota, walks to the garage area after an on-track incident during the NASCAR Cup Series 4EVER 400 Presented by Mobil 1 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on October 22, 2023 in Homestead, Florida. (Photo by James Gilbert/Getty Images)

Denny Hamlin had a mechanical failure at Homestead-Miami Speedway, and he once again finds himself on the outside looking in on the Championship 4 heading into Martinsville. It’s the second year in a row Hamlin has found himself in this spot, and he is dangerously close to once again falling short of a Cup Series Championship.

With no Championships in his career, what is it that causes Hamlin and his team to keep choking in the Playoffs? Let’s take a look at Hamlin’s Playoff history, and what is it that has caused Hamlin to continuously be on the outside looking in.

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Hamlin’s Closest Calls

Hamlin has had his fair share of close calls during his career, and there have been plenty of heartbreaking finishes. What happened to cause Hamlin to miss out on that elusive Championship?

2010

To this day, it’s hard to say any Championship loss was more disappointing for Hamlin than this one. He had Jimmie Johnson on the ropes following a win at Texas, and both he and his team flopped the next two races. Hamlin ran out of gas at Phoenix to finish a disappointing 12th after leading 190 laps, and he followed that up with another disappointing race at Homestead. He started 37th, spun out early, and never was totally right all day as Jimmie Johnson won the Championship by 39 points.

This one was all on Hamlin and the 11 team. There were no extenuating circumstances, they just flat-out did not perform when it mattered most. One can only wonder what would have happened if just one less mistake had been made by Hamlin and his team in those final two races.

2014

2014 was far from Hamlin’s best season, but he found his way in the Championship 4 in the first year of the “Chase Grid” era of the NASCAR Playoffs. Hamlin swapped the lead with Jeff Gordon (not in the Championship 4) throughout the late stages of the race, but Kevin Harvick got the better of Hamlin on a late restart. Hamlin still sat in third on the final restart, but he would fall all the way back to seventh.

Again, this is another instance of Hamlin just not performing when it mattered most. Then again, maybe his car was just not quite up to snuff late in the race. Still, he fell out of contention late, which ruined his night.

2019

Denny Hamlin silenced those saying he could not perform in the clutch by winning at Phoenix to make it to the Championship 4. The following race at Homestead was a different story. He would lead only two laps on the day, but he seemed to be finding his groove late in the race when an oversized piece of tape was put on the grill during a pit stop. Hamlin’s car started overheating, and he was forced to pit a second time, taking him out of contention.

This incident was completely on Hamlin’s race team. Hamlin did everything he could all season, and he got them to the Championship 4 with a win. However, it was a critical error on a pit stop that ended the day for Hamlin.

Playoffs & Championship Letdowns

Hamlin has also had his fair share of years where he has not been ridiculously close to a Championship, but he has had a slow letdown towards the end of the season or in a final race. What are some of those years in Hamlin’s career?

2012

In 2012, Denny Hamlin took the one seed into the Chase as he won four races in the regular season. Expectations were high, and some felt that Hamlin had a chance to get a Championship. He won the second Chase race at New Hampshire. He would go on top flop with only three top-10s in the final eight races to finish a disappointing sixth.

He had speed at times, but he had a mechanical failure leaving him multiple laps down at Martinsville, and he was caught up in the last lap crash at Talladega. Some of it was inconsistency, some of it was bad luck. However, it is hard to say this was all on Hamlin the driver.

2020

Throughout all of 2020, it felt like either Denny Hamlin or Kevin Harvick was winning races. After Harvick was left out following a tough race at Martinsville, Hamlin seemed to be a potential favorite heading into Phoenix. Well, he would start fourth, finish fourth, and he led zero laps. He was the slowest of the Championship 4 contenders all day long.

This is down to Hamlin and his team just not rising to the occasion on that day. They were good, but they needed to be great. Unfortunately, it just did not work out.

2022

This one ended at Martinsville, where Hamlin did everything right. He led 203 laps, won both stages and finished a solid fifth place. The problem was that Ross Chastain pulled off a video game move to take that one important point from Hamlin. The “Hail Melon” was born.

This is one of those moments where you wonder if there is Divine Intervention preventing Hamlin from winning a Championship. I mean, there is no way this ever happens again, and it happened to mess up Denny Hamlin.

A combination of things has caused Denny Hamlin to miss out on the big trophy at the end of the season. It’s tough to pin it all on just one thing, but, he just has not found his way into a Championship.

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AUSTIN, TEXAS - FEBRUARY 28: Shane Van Gisbergen, driver of the #9 Safety Culture Chevrolet, drives during the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Focused Health 250 at Circuit of The Americas on February 28, 2026 in Austin, Texas.

O’Reilly: SVG Wins at COTA

What’s Happening?

The checkered flag is out for the NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series competitors at COTA, and it was Shane van Gisbergen who was left standing tall at the end of the race. His 5th career O’Reilly Auto Parts Series victory, it was his first at the track.

  • The opening stage was dominated by the JRM duo of Connor Zilisch and Shane van Gisbergen with the No. 1 of Zilisch looking to be the stronger of the two early on. Prior to the end of the stage, both short-pitted, making a long-term play for the win. SVG still managed to end the stage in 10th.
  • Austin Hill stayed out after a disappointing showing in Atlanta last week to collect some stage points. Also running strong in the first stage were Justin Allgaier, Sam Mayer, Brandon Jones, and Jesse Love.
  • Despite not being in his usual ride, Carson Kvapil was very competitive in his DGM No. 91 Chevy. Granted, the car was prepared by JR Motorsports ahead of this race, but it was DGM guys running the show. They did an admirable job, bringing the car home in the 19th position after falling off late. He’ll have 5 more starts in the car later this year to fill out the remainder of his schedule.
  • The second stage belonged to Sam Mayer. Finishing 2nd in the first stage and winning Stage 2, he had a mighty good points day today. Meanwhile, his former teammate Justin Allgaier also had a strong finish in stage 2. That’s a promising sign, considering his heartbreaks in Daytona and Atlanta, respectively.
  • Connor Zilisch had far from a perfect race today. Sure, he led a bulk of the opening stage, but mechanical issues plagued him later in the race. Extra time on pit road making repairs put him behind the 8 ball in Stage 2. This put the race firmly in the hands of SVG. He did manage to battle back to the top 5 before he was dumped by Corey Day and the controversy around that driver continues to build. Zilisch brought it home in 21st with significant damage.
  • With Connor Zilisch’s issues, it was more or less a cakewalk for Shane van Gisbergen in the JRM No. 9. He went on to win, scoring his 5th career win in the O’Reilly Auto Parts Series. He has an opportunity to sweep the weekend. He starts tomorrow’s Cup race in the 13th position.

Race Results

Caution Tracker
  • Lap 20: End of Stage 1
  • Lap 35: Baltazar Leguizamon spins
  • Lap 40: End of Stage 2
  • Lap 57: Sage Karam

Points Standings

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AUSTIN, TEXAS - FEBRUARY 28: Shane Van Gisbergen, driver of the #9 Safety Culture Chevrolet, Connor Zilisch, driver of the #1 Roto-Rooter Chevrolet, and Austin Hill, driver of the #21 Bennett Transportation Chevrolet, race during the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Focused Health 250 at Circuit of The Americas on February 28, 2026 in Austin, Texas.

O’Reilly: Mid-Race Report, It’s the Zilisch and SVG Show!

What’s Happening?

The first two stages are in the books for the stars of tomorrow in the NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series race at COTA. Predictably, Connor Zilisch and Shane van Gisbergen dominated the first two stages. As they short-pitted at the end of each stage, Austin Hill and Sam Mayer both went to collect stage wins, respectively. Here are the key takeaways from the race so far.

  • Austin Hill, after a disappointing finish to last week’s race in Atlanta following being sent by Ross Chastain, won the opening stage of the race. This was, of course, after Connor Zilisch and SVG short pitted, playing the long game for the win. Zilisch led a bulk of the opening stage, leading 12 of the opening 20 laps. On pit road, SVG managed to leapfrog Zilisch for the would-be race lead.
  • The only incident to note in the opening stage was when Jeremy Clements got off course. The caution did not fly, and he finished the stage in the 30th position.
  • Key drivers earning stage points in the opening stage include Austin Hill (10), Sam Mayer (9), Justin Allgaier (8), Brandon Jones (7), Jesse Love (6), Carson Kvapil (5), Corey Day (4), and Rajah Caruth (2).
  • The second stage wasn’t quite as cut and dry as the first. While battling for the lead, Connor Zilisch overdrove a corner, making an uncharacteristic mistake. He went over the radio to complain that it felt like his car was pulling to the right, an indication of a possible issue with his left side brakes.
  • There was a late caution in the stage as Baltazar Leguizamón suffered a brake failure and plowed hard into the tire barrier. He was okay but this effectively ended his day. SVG and Connor Zilisch both came down pit road during this caution. Zilisch had a slow stop as his No. 1 crew started to check out the right side of the car for potential brake problems. Sam Mayer went on to win the stage.
  • Earning stage points in the second stage were Sam Mayer (10), Justin Allgaier (9), Carson Kvapil (8), Jesse Love (7), Austin Hill (5), Sammy Smith (4), Brandon Jones (3), and Ryan Sieg (1).

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AUSTIN, TEXAS - FEBRUARY 28: Shane Van Gisbergen, driver of the #9 Safety Culture Chevrolet, and Austin Hill, driver of the #21 Bennett Transportation Chevrolet, lead the field during the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Focused Health 250 at Circuit of The Americas on February 28, 2026 in Austin, Texas.

What to Keep an Eye on in the O’Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at COTA

What’s Happening?

The NASCAR Saturday Double-Header continues with O’Reilly Auto Parts Series action from Circuit of the Americas (COTA). Here’s what you need to look out for and what to expect in today’s race.

  • Road course heavy hitters, Connor Zilisch and Shane van Gisbergen, are in the field today. You know what that means: another slobber knocker of a race between them as everyone else struggles to keep up. And, you guessed it: they both are starting on the front row with Zilisch claiming the pole in his No. 1 JRM Chevy. SVG is driving the No. 9.
  • Since Zilisch is in the No. 1, Carson Kvapil has been demoted to the No. 91 of DGM Racing. While the car is prepared by JR Motorsports, it won’t be his usual pit crew. Rather, his crew is made up entirely of DGM employees. So, there are a lot of unknowns for him heading into today’s race. He’s starting 6th.
  • Speaking of JRM, Rajah Caruth turned some heads in the first two races of this season. How will he fare on a road course? That No. 88 team is used to winning on these types of tracks. Keep an eye on him. Caruth is rolling off 19th.
  • Austin Hill bounces back after a disappointing finish last week in Atlanta, thanks to the ruthless bumper of Ross Chastain. He’s rolling off in the 3rd position.
  • Coverage for the NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series race at COTA begins at 3 PM EST on the CW.

Starting Lineup

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