What Happened To Alex Bowman’s Season?!

Back in March, picking Alex Bowman to make the Round of 8 felt like a safe bet. He was top 3 in points, nearly beat Larson at Homestead, and looked like a true contender. Fast forward to June, and everything has fallen apart. With just 11 races left before the playoffs, Bowman’s playoff hopes are hanging by a thread, and the stats are uglier than you think.

• What happened to Bowman’s momentum since Homestead, and why is his average finish now 27th?
• Can a stretch of road courses, superspeedways, and a strong track at Dover offer any hope?
• Who are the drivers Bowman must beat to stay alive—and are they even within reach?
• Why even a win might not be enough, depending on who else gets hot in the next 11 weeks…

This isn’t just a slump. It’s a nosedive. Three DNFs, zero stage points in the last month, and a Michigan performance where the 48 dropped like a rock even before the crash. The car has lost speed, and the consistency is gone. If this stretch continues, even a hail-mary Daytona win might not be enough. But is all hope lost? Maybe not. The law of averages, strong stage point numbers, and Bowman’s knack for random wins keep the door cracked open. Just barely.

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