Which Drivers Advance To the NASCAR Championship?

500 laps, six drivers, two spots. Martinsville decides who fights for the championship at Phoenix — and the math is brutal. With Larson and Bell holding the advantage, one mistake could flip the table entirely. Stage points, pit calls, or a last-lap shove could define who survives and who’s sent packing.

• Can Chase Elliott finally break through when his season depends on it?
• Will Ryan Blaney continue his Martinsville dominance and clutch his way back to Phoenix?
• Could Bell or Larson blow it early, handing an outsider a lifeline?
• And how much chaos can we expect from Byron, Logano, and the other desperate contenders?

Every lap at the Paperclip matters, and every bump could mean a ticket to Phoenix or an offseason of regret. Larson and Bell control their destiny, but Blaney and Elliott are lurking like sharks in shallow water. With Denny Hamlin already locked in, the fight for the final two spots is set to explode. Who gets in? Who gets left behind? Martinsville never disappoints — and this one might be the most dramatic cutoff race yet.

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