NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoff Bubble

CONCORD, NORTH CAROLINA - OCTOBER 08: A detail view of the "NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoffs" sticker on the grid during practice for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Drive for the Cure 250 presented by BlueCross BlueShield of North Carolina at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 08, 2022 in Concord, North Carolina. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images)

What’s Happening?

The NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoffs are creeping closer and closer, and the sense of urgency and intensity is ratcheting up. With only six races left in the regular season, here is a look at the NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoff bubble and those who are safe alongside those in danger.

  • The NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoff field includes 12 drivers. To qualify, a driver must have won a race during the regular season or be among the highest-placed winless drivers in the regular season standings. If there are more than 12 winners, the drivers with the most wins will get the higher seeds, and the tiebreaker between drivers with one win is where they sit in the points standings.
  • The “Win and you’re in” style format often changes the Playoff bubble. One upset win could take a driver from safe to fighting for their Playoff lives.
  • The Xfinity Series has seen fewer upset wins than the Cup Series, but that doesn’t mean we won’t see one. Plenty of talented drivers have yet to reach victory lane, and plenty of races could produce surprise winners.

Locked In or Virtually Locked In (Race Winners)

The Drivers: Shane Van Gisbergen (3 Wins), Austin Hill (2 Wins), Chandler Smith (2 Wins), Sam Mayer (2 Wins), Cole Custer (1 Win), Justin Allgaier (1 Win), Riley Herbst (1 Win), and Jesse Love (1 Win)

With six races left in the regular season, the Xfinity Series has eight full-time drives with at least one win. While it’s possible to get more than 12 winners before the end of the regular season, it’s incredibly unlikely as every Xfinity Series winner this year, and all except one since the start of 2023, has come from either JR Motorsports, Kaulig Racing, Stewart-Haas Racing, and Joe Gibbs Racing. While wild card races like Watkins Glen, Daytona, and Atlanta still remain, these drivers should feel pretty safe, and each driver with multiple wins is already locked in, no matter what.

For these drivers, it’s all about gaining as many Playoff bonus points as possible via race wins, stage wins, and bonus points for finishing in the top 10 in points (15 for 1st, 10 for 2nd, 8 for 3rd, etc., until 1 for 10th). Custer, with a 56-point lead, feels pretty safe as the regular season points leader, but a lot can happen between now and Bristol in September. It’s also worth noting that fifth through eighth (Herbst, Love, A.J. Allmendinger, and Sheldon Creed) in points are all separated by only 43 points, and that’s worth a few extra bonus points.

Feeling Pretty Good (Drivers In on Points)

The Drivers: A.J. Allmendinger (+102) and Sheldon Creed (+69)

Both Allmendinger and Creed should make the Playoffs on points, and it’s not out of the question that they win a race before the regular season ends. Even if they do not win, they have a two-driver cushion beneath them, which allows for a couple of potential upset winners, a nice gap with two drafting tracks, and one road course left in the regular season.

Both drivers find themselves in the heat of the battle between fifth and eighth in points. While race wins and stage wins are the best ways to earn Playoff points, this is the race these drivers are watching for as they try to position themselves for a deep Playoff run.

The Playoff Bubble

The Drivers: Parker Kligerman (+46), Ryan Sieg (+3), and Sammy Smith (-3)

This may be the most volatile Playoff bubble in NASCAR right now. With the upcoming wild card races, this bubble could easily move upward, and it’s already tight. Kligerman is hoping for no upset winners, while Sieg and Smith are focused on outperforming each other.

Conventional wisdom would say that Smith will find a way past Sieg, as Smith clearly has the equipment edge. However, if a surprise winner emerges in the next few weeks, that won’t matter. The best path for either driver, who both have shown they can compete for wins, is to win in these final six regular season races.

Must-Win Territory

The Drivers: Every winless driver that is 14th or worse in points; notables include Brandon Jones (-69), Brennan Poole (-157), Josh Williams (-201), Jeb Burton (-224), and Jeremy Clements (-236).

It may not be mathematically impossible for these drivers to make the Playoffs on points, but they’re so far back that they have to go for wins. Brandon Jones has sometimes shown speed with two poles and a second-place finish at Charlotte, but he needs to find more to avoid missing the Playoffs for the second straight year.

Former superspeedway winners Jeremy Clements and Jeb Burton have circled Daytona and Atlanta as their best opportunity. Brennan Poole came within a few thousand feet of winning at Talladega in the spring. Clements also has a road course win on his resume, meaning he could be one to watch at Watkins Glen. Josh Williams is in equipment capable of winning, so you can’t count him out.

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What to Look Out for in the Cup Race at EchoPark Speedway

What’s Happening?

With Round 1 of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Race to the Chase in the books, the greatest drivers in the world, the stars of the NASCAR Cup Series, head to the Peach State. We’re going back-to-back superspeedway racing as the NASCAR takes on the EchoPark Speedway (formerly the Atlanta Motor Speedway). This is what you need to keep your eyes peeled for in what is guaranteed to be a thriller of a race.

  • Yesterday morning’s qualifying session was washed due to weather in the Hampton, Georgia area. This means that the field was set by the qualifying metric. As a result, Tyler Reddick will start today’s race where he ended last week’s Daytona 500: in first place. Starting on the outside pole is every fans’ favorite driver, Joey Logano.
  • NASCAR’s Most Popular Driver, Chase Elliott, will try to bounce back after a heartbreaking end to the 68th running of the Great American race last week. Elliott came so close to winning it all. A proven superspeedway winner and former Atlanta winner, NASCAR’s favorite son is hoping to get it done today in his home state. There may be a party in Dawsonville, Georgia, tonight! Chase Elliott rolls off 4th.
  • On the flip side, Elliott’s teammate, Alex Bowman, has had a rough start to the year. He DNF’d in the 500 last week and now starts today’s race in the 36th position. Generally, he’s seen as being on the hot seat this year as he’s currently sitting on a contract year. He’ll need to win big and soon if he wants contract negotiations to go in his favor. He’s got a tough battle ahead of him, though.
  • Expect a different kind of racing today than what we saw at Daytona last week. Yes, it’s superspeedway style, drafting racing in big packs, but Atlanta is a mile shorter than Daytona. This results in an emphasis on handling over fuel saving and more compact packs. Whoever can set their car up the best today will likely have a fighting chance when it gets down to the wire.
  • Coverage for the NASCAR Cup Series Autotrader 400 at EchoPark Speedway begins at 2 PM EST/11 AM PST on FOX.

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HAMPTON, GEORGIA - FEBRUARY 21: Sheldon Creed, driver of the #00 Road Ranger Chevrolet, takes the checkered flag to win the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Bennett Transportation & Logistics 250 at Echo Park Speedway on February 21, 2026 in Hampton, Georgia.

O’Reilly: Sheldon Creed Breaks Through in Thriller at EchoPark Speedway

What’s Happening?

It was a busy Saturday at EchoPark Speedway (formerly Atlanta Motor Speedway). First, we had the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race. Then, the O’Reilly Auto Parts Series took center stage and they were two vastly different events. Ultimately, it was Sheldon Creed standing tall in victory lane when all was said and done. Here’s what you need to take away from tonight’s NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series race at EchoPark Speedway.

  • There were a lot of drivers who had tire problems which set off massive wrecks and incidents. First, Sam Mayer had a tire go down from the race lead. Sammy Smith got bitten. Austin Green. Corey Day. Taylor Gray. The list goes on and on. Some of them were able to stay in contention while others were plagued for the rest of the race.
  • Speaking for Corey Day, he just had a bad race. First, he sparked an incident which took out several drivers, including the Sieg brothers (who weren’t shy about voicing their displeasure about the rookie) and Harrison Burton. And though the broadcasters on the CW gave him the benefit of the doubt, the later incident was less forgivable. In this incident, while he was battling the JRM duo of Carson Kvapil and Justin Allgaier for the race lead, Day got into the No. 1 Arby’s Chevy, sending all three of them into the wall. This is certainly a performance that he’ll want to forget.
  • Chevrolets swept the stages. Winning the first one was none other than Jesse Love, continuing RCR’s dominance on drafting tracks. Rajah Caruth, who had a handful all race, was able to capture his first career stage win by winning Stage 2.
  • It wasn’t the dominating race for RCR that we all thought it would be. With ill-handling cars, their qualifying attempts were underwhelming, and they got off to a lukewarm start tonight. By the end of it, though, they were in the mix. Slicing and dicing, Austin Hill had the lead as they came around to take the white flag. However, in Turn 1, he got “Chastained.” Ross Chastain plowed into the back of the No. 21, knocking him down to the apron. Hill was able to save it and rally home to a 12th place finish.
  • The big story tonight is that Sheldon Creed, finally, after far too many runner-up finishes to count, broke through to capture his first NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts Series win. It will certainly be a day he and his team will never forget.

Notable Incidents

Lap 5: Corey Day

Corey Day had a very sloppy, bad race in general, and it started early. First, he caused a wreck that took out Harrison Burton and a couple of others. Then, he took out the JRM duo of Carson Kvapil and Justin Allgaier. You can recap that first incident by reading the article below.

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Lap 142: Sammy Smith

Kvapil and Allgaier weren’t the only JRM cars to have issues tonight. Firstly, Rajah Caruth was out of control throughout the race, fighting a mean-handling car. He was able to brilliantly save it several times, to his credit. But perhaps the biggest incident involving the four JRM Chevys came at Lap 142 when Sammy Smith had a tire go down and spun in front of the pack. This took out several drivers, including Taylor Gray, among others. Read about that here:

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Results

Results Pending.

Points Standings (2 of 35)

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O’Reilly: Sammy Smith’s Flat Takes Out Heavy Hitters Late at EchoPark

What’s Happening?

As Ross Chastain took the lead and the pack was closing in on 20 laps to go, things a little deeper in the pack started to get a little hairy. We had yet another huge crash late in the running here tonight, this one sparked by Sammy Smith’s flat rear tire. Here’s what happened:

  • As the laps were winding down in tonight’s O’Reilly Auto Parts Series race, Sammy Smith, along with his JRM teammates, were in the thick of contention for the win. Unfortunately for him, a poorly-timed flat rear tire ended his (and several others) chance to capitalize and get that first valuable win of the season. Unable to hold onto it, the No. 8 Pilot Chevy spun around in front of a massive horde of cars.
  • Helpless to go anywhere, several heavy hitters were caught up in this incident. They include the likes of William Sawalich, Gio Ruggiero, Patrick Staropoli, Taylor Gray, Brennan Poole, Nick Leitz, and Lavar Scott.
  • It’s an unfortunate beginning of the year for a handful of these drivers. Luckily for Brennan Poole, he’s coming off a strong showing at Daytona and was in the thick of it here tonight. That shows some promise for sure.

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