Will These Teams Be Hurt By NASCAR’s Switch to a Chase System?

DAYTONA BEACH, FLORIDA - AUGUST 24: Harrison Burton, driver of the #21 DEX Imaging Ford, drives after winning the NASCAR Cup Series Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on August 24, 2024 in Daytona Beach, Florida. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images)
Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images

What’s Happening?

In 2026, NASCAR is reverting its Championship Format to a ten-race Chase. While fans are excited about the return of the system, it could hurt some fan-favorite underdog teams’ long-term run. Here’s how.

NASCAR introduced its elimination-style playoff format in 2014. This system maintained the ten races used by the original postseason format, or the “Chase” that had been used since 2004, while adding some new elements to spice up NASCAR’s championship.

Among these changes were the inclusion of rounds, four, with three races in each of the first three rounds, the addition of eliminations, with four drivers cut from the expanded 16-driver field after every round, and finally a new winner-take-all finale.

Other aspects would be added as time passed, eventually becoming the basis of the new system.

However, one change reigned above all, the “win and you’re in” stipulation. This rule ensured that any driver in the top 35 of regular-season points who won a race made it into the playoffs.

This rule ensured that Kyle Busch, who missed 11 races with an injury in 2015, made the playoffs and eventually won the championship that season.

While this was a fun twist to the playoffs, the rule itself never sat right with NASCAR fans, who disliked the chaotic nature of the rule. These feelings, specifically, intensified in 2024, when NASCAR eliminated the Top 35 rules.

This conversation over wins, eliminations, and rounds, ended on January 12, when NASCAR introduced a traditional Chase system, with no automatic bids, no rounds, and no eliminations.

The Death of the Win and In

A large portion of the NASCAR fanbase celebrated this decision, and, in particular, the end of the win and in stipulation.

While fans may have been excited about its expulsion, in a broader aspect, the removal of this stipulation could have a negative effect on the smaller teams in NASCAR’s highest levels.

From 2014 to 2025, many notable underdogs used a win to propel them to playoff status.

  • 2014: Aric Almirola, A.J. Allmendinger
  • 2016: Chris Buescher
  • 2021: Michael McDowell
  • 2022: Daniel Suárez
  • 2023: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
  • 2024: Harrison Burton, Daniel Suárez, Chase Briscoe
  • 2025: Josh Berry, Shane Van Gisbergen, Austin Dillon

Each of the drivers listed above had one thing in common: though they made the playoffs that season, without a win, each of them would have missed out, sitting outside the top 16 in total points earned that season after race 26.

It’s easy to say that these teams need to find consistency, to race with the best, and they need not worry about making the playoffs.

In fact, many fans know that the win-and-in was helpful for teams in ensuring their sponsors a spot on an elevated stage in NASCAR, getting to tell them that with one win, they are part of an elite group with double, even triple, the usual TV time late in the season.

Even then, the point could also be made that they are unaffected by the elimination of the win-and-in, as they still get to race regardless of playoff status, and, under the old system, most underdogs rarely advanced to round two.

But for many of these underdogs and backmarkers, like Front Row Motorsports, Hyak Motorsports, Wood Brothers Racing, or even some underperforming Cup Series teams like Daniel Suarez’s No. 99 in 2024 or Austin Dillon’s No. 3 in 2025, not making the playoffs can come with direct financial consequences.

The Owners Championship

While drivers fight one another on track for their championship, inside the garage area, race teams had another, slightly overlooked playoff battle of their own.

This was for the owners’ championship, which also followed the playoff system’s nuances, including the win-and-in. With the win and in, teams like those mentioned above have shot up the rankings after 26 races, and a shot at a better payout come year’s end.

For example, entering the 2025 regular season finale, WBR’s No. 21 sat 22nd in owners’ points, while RCR’s No. 3 sat 25th. After the season finale, each shot up to 13th and 15th, and finished the year 16th and 15th in owners’ points.

Josh Berry and Austin Dillon’s wins went a long way financially for the teams as well, something that has now happened for WBR in back-to-back seasons, with Harrison Burton scoring another underdog playoff qualifying win for them in the summer of 2024.

As WBR President Jon Wood explained to Dale Earnhardt Jr during an October 2025 episode of The Dale Jr Download, Burton’s regular-season win at Daytona turned things around for the Wood Brothers “overnight.”

“The last two seasons, last year, more than this year we went from making no money in point fund. . . another snap of the finger, turn things around overnight.” — Jon Wood

Wood went on to say that this change all depended on “when you win that race,” saying that winning in the regular season to make the playoffs “totally changes everything.”

Now, with the win and in out of the format, teams will have to make it to one point, something that underdogs struggled to do under the original Chase format.

But, it’s not all doom and gloom, as the new system is fitted with four more spots than any past Chase system, giving drivers who may be specialists, like Shane van Gisbergen, a real shot to make it.

Overall, in the death of the playoffs, while fans and industry members are excited for this new chapter, it is important to remember that the playoffs weren’t all bad, as for some smaller teams, the system could literally change their entire outlook.

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